Accurately estimating software development timelines has been notoriously difficult. This post argues that instead of relying on traditional time estimates, teams should adopt a budget-focused approach, such as the Shape Up methodology. This method advocates for setting budgets and allowing scope to be adjusted during development. The argument is supported by the idea that most modern software development involves novel elements that are hard to define and estimate upfront. It emphasizes that successful software often results from iterative improvements and adjustments based on ongoing insights.
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