Quantum Error Correction goes FOOM

Quantum error correction is approaching a breakthrough moment where logical qubit quality will increase dramatically. Historical data shows repetition code half-lives grew from 100 microseconds (2014) to 2 hours (2024), following a superexponential curve due to Moore's-law-like qubit count growth combined with exponential error suppression. Surface codes protecting full quantum bits exhibit similar dynamics: quadrupling physical qubits squares the logical error rate. With recent demonstrations of logical qubits surpassing physical qubit quality, the author predicts the quality barrier will fall within five years, enabling practical large-scale quantum computation.