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Software Design: Tidy First?

AI-powered coding tools are creating a deflationary spiral in software development costs, similar to economic deflation but driven by genuine productivity gains rather than weakness. This creates paradoxes where cheap code floods the market while value migrates to understanding what to build, system integration, and developing judgment. The key strategy is focusing on skills that matter regardless of whether we end up with fewer or more programmers: understanding, integration capabilities, and the wisdom to know what's worth building.

Programming Deflation