An exploratory analysis applying Benford's law to detect potential accounting fraud in ~5,000 US public company annual reports (10-K filings). The author extracts dollar amounts from SEC filings, computes empirical first-digit distributions, and ranks companies by KL-divergence from the expected Benford distribution. The post is explicitly framed as a fun experiment, not a serious fraud investigation, and cautions against the prosecutor's fallacy when interpreting outliers.

6m read timeFrom erikbern.com
Post cover image

Sort: