A new paper that we will expand into our next book

AI Snake Oil

The post envisions AI as a 'normal technology', akin to transformative technologies like electricity and the internet, but differing from utopian and dystopian views. It argues for AI as a tool under human control without needing drastic interventions or breakthroughs. The essay covers the slow adoption of AI, the importance of considering AI's societal impacts, and presents a detailed analysis of AI risks, including accidents, arms races, misuse, and misalignment. The authors emphasize the role of resilient policies and practical control mechanisms to mitigate AI risks and promote safe, gradual integration into society.

AI as Normal Technology

Part II: What a World With Advanced AI Might Look Like