AI will replace developers in 6 months. Again...

AI predictions from tech CEOs at Davos claim developers will be replaced within 6-12 months, repeating similar claims from a year ago. Current transformer-based AI architectures have fundamental limitations—they rearrange existing knowledge probabilistically but cannot generate truly novel ideas. While AI will likely handle more boilerplate code generation, the technology has plateaued and requires unknown breakthroughs before achieving major industry disruption. Meanwhile, companies like OpenAI struggle with profitability, now introducing ads despite previously calling it a last resort.